Idol Polls: The Top 7

by Jason Hughes, posted Apr 17th 2008 11:04AM
Kristy Lee CookWelcome back to our weekly American Idol polls round-up. Each week we look at various online polls that were conducted from the end of last week's results up to the performance show Tuesday. And then a few that were conducted after the performance show, but before the results were revealed.

This way we can analyze how the week's performances affected a contestant's overall popularity, which turns out to be not very much except in a few select cases. This week during the performance show, Simon indicated that the guys had won the night, and based on these polls it looks like American (at least the online portion of us) agrees with him. Is it really over for the girls? Can they see the writing on the walls? Will Brooke talk about it constantly droning on and on and on?

WEEK-TO-WEEK POLLS (PRE-PERFORMANCE)
Look who's at the bottom of most of the polls. That's right, it's the "bounce back" queen. Able to spend weeks at a time at the bottom of virtually every poll and not get eliminated. She wasn't even "Bottom Two" this week. You go girl!

Guide to the polls:
Position - [change from last week] Contestant (Percentage of votes)

AOL
1 - [+2] Jason Castro (28.9%)
2 - [-1] David Archuleta (28.9%)
3 - [-1] David Cook (19.9%)
4 - [+1] Brooke White (6.8%)
5 - [+2] Kristy Lee Cook (6.7%) <--
6 - [=] Carly Smithson (6.1%)
7 - [+1] Syesha Mercado (2.6%)
Jason's definitely benefiting from his strong performance from last week as he slides into the top spot on AOL's poll and in fact stays there after his Mariah number Tuesday. What was once a one-man race (Archuleta) and then a two-man race (the Davids) may just be a three-man race (the boys) after all.

TV Guide
1 - [=] David Cook (38.6%)
2 - [=] David Archuleta (27.3%)
3 - [+3] Jason Castro (16.9%)
4 - [+1] Brooke White (6.8%)
5 - [-1] Carly Smithson (6.1%)
6 - [+1] Kristy Lee Cook (3.1%) <--
7 - [+1] Syesha Mercado (1.1%)
One thing's for sure, the girls really need to step it up as in most polls the guys have double digit leads on them percentage wise. That can't bode well for any of them.

VoteFair.org
1 - [=] David Archuleta (41.9%)
2 - [=] Jason Castro (25.2%)
3 - [+1] David Cook (22.1%)
4 - [+1] Brooke White (4.0%)
5 - [+1] Carl Smithson (2.8%)
6 - [+1] Kristy Lee Cook (2.5%) <--
7 - [+1] Syesha Mercado (1.5%)
Well, this poll actually just eliminated Michael from his high ranking last week and everyone just moved up a slot. No movement at all. One thing a lot of these polls are doing is appearing to agree with Simon that it may just be a matter of picking off the girls one-by-one until we have an all guy finale. In fact, Jason Castro has even started to get right into the mix with the Davids in poll popularity.

AFTER-PERFORMANCE POLLS

AOL
1 - [=] Jason Castro (26.7%)
2 - [+1] David Cook (26.6%)
3 - [-1] David Archuleta (26.4%)
4 - [+2] Brooke White (6.1%)
5 - [=] Kristy Lee Cook (5.9%) <--
6 - [+1] Carly Smithson (5.4%)
7 - [+1] Syesha Mercado (2.9%)
The drop off from David Archuleta to Brooke is astonishing, it's as if we have two different competitions running right now, one for the girls and one for the guys.

TV Squad
1 - [+5] David Cook (61.5%)
2 - [=] David Archuleta (15.9%)
3 - [-2] Jason Castro (12.6%)
4 - [-1] Kristy Lee Cook (3.4%) <--
5 - [=] Syesha Mercado (3.2%)
6 - [+1] Brooke White (1.8%)
7 - [+1] Carly Smithson (1.6%)
As always, the TVS poll seems to be much more a direct reaction to the previous night's performance, and thus the rankings tend to fluctuate more here than in most other polls depending on how each individual contestant does. As such, the domination of David Cook is more a reflection of the strength of this one performance just as his much lower placement last week was a reflection of the worst job he'd done all season.

Dial Idol
1 - [+5] David Cook (21.1%)
2 - [-1] David Archuleta (19.6%)
3 - [-1] Jason Castro (11.6%)
4 - [-1] Kristy Lee Cook (9.5%) <--
5 - [+3] Carly Smithson (7.8%)
6 - [-2] Brooke White (6.2%)
7 - [=] Syesha Mercado (6.1%)
Well, DialIdol got this one wrong by actually predicting that Kristy would be safe. In fact, looking back through these polls it looks like they all got it wrong. And the vast majority of them continue to have Syesha in the bottom spot, and she came in third to last in voting. It's fascinating to me that she ranks dead last in most of these polls week after week after week and yet doesn't get eliminated.

Still, I'd say the writing is on the wall for the ladies unless they really turn things around with some amazing performances. And with Andrew Lloyd Weber coming up, I think Brooke might be the lady in trouble the most right now out of the remaining three. If she can dig deep enough into his catalog to find a beautiful heartfelt ballad that doesn't have a lot of range and power requirements she could be okay, but I really think she might find this week as difficult as she did Mariah.

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Jayboy

Dial Idol is not a poll. It is unlike any of the other on-line polls because it uses the dial results of whether a vote gets through or it doesn't because of busy signal. The theory behind DialIdol is that during the monitored intervals of voting, the highest busy signal percentage lines would be the highest vote getters. Dial Idol does not add up to 100% because the scores are NOT percentage of the vote like the polls. The DialIdol score represents more like a summarized busy percentage during the voting period after every show.

April 22 2008 at 4:56 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Jayboy's comment
popbuzz

Sorry that difference has been explained in previous posts but was not specified in this one. Thanks for doing so for any who may not know.

April 22 2008 at 9:46 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Helen

There are a few "heartfelt" songs in the ALW catalog that
Brooke might be able to pull off. For instance, there
is I Don't Know How to Love Him from Jesus Christ
Superstar or All I Ask of You from Phantom. These two
can be done in Brooke's soft style and without the
power that many ALW songs need.

April 22 2008 at 5:25 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
smartalek

wow jason and everyone, go check out the aol idol poll right now, syesha is currently in first place, i'm not kidding

someone must have clicked on her over a thousand times or something, isn't that nuts?

April 17 2008 at 10:20 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
gail

Please! whoever is voting for the ladies, stop! i would love an all male finale-each guy has their own distinctive style and it would be great!

April 17 2008 at 5:45 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Kim

Why do DialIdol's numbers only add up to 81.9%? Who did the other 18.1% vote for?

Polls only give a general feel for who's doing the worst/best. The presidential race polls have hardly been accurate this year and they are conducted as well as any poll could be.

I do agree that an all male final three looks likely. Not necessarily a bad thing but I would like to see Carly sneak in there instead of Jason. I like Jason but he's not the strongest singer.

April 17 2008 at 12:23 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
chgosaint

AI should publish the actual numbers. I think the vote is only "part" of the reason people get "voted" off the show. If it is tuly an honest show, they should be willing to give the numbers every week.

April 17 2008 at 12:21 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Anon Imus

Just one thought... what if the so-called "bottom two" aren't the bottom two at all? What if sometimes they send the second to last place person to safety, and the "bottom two" are actually the last place and third to last?

This isn't just conspiracy theory -- it's also based on knowing the the producers can be slimy and misleading.

April 17 2008 at 11:24 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

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