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Analysts lay odds on which upcoming shows will succeed

by Brad Trechak, posted Jul 8th 2008 9:38AM
DollhouseNothing is exempt from betting, including television shows. According to Horizon Media's annual television report, Fox's new show Fringe and CBS' sci-fi drama Eleventh Hour will fare best of the new wave of freshman television shows. Doing worst would be NBC's Kath & Kim and CBS' Worst Week.

The report produced some unsurprising claims, such as that Grey's Anatomy, Heroes and Survivor will continue to kick butt in the ratings. The report did produce some surprises such as ABC overthrowing CBS on Friday nights and the Fox sitcom Do Not Disturb finding success. I guess we'll have to wait until the fall season to see how correct the report is.

What irks me is that after combing through the article I found no mention of Joss Whedon's Dollhouse. Did they forget to review that one? Is this a sign of things to come that Horizon Media didn't even find the show important enough to rank?

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Europa

Seeing as there seems to be no accounting for good taste in terms of what viewers choose to make a hit these days, reverse the order of what is expected to be a hit and what is expected to fail and we'll have the truth. :(

July 08 2008 at 7:47 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
AJ

Didn't the post LOST sci-fi boom teach us anything? People don't like sci-fi when they know it's sci-fi. The only post LOST show to last was Heroes, and thats only because it's a superhero show. The only reason LOST made it is because you didn't know it was sci-fi until you were already hooked. Fringe will probably be the first show cancelled.

July 08 2008 at 6:56 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
C C

I'm not so sure either Fringe or Eleventh Hour will do as well as they think-both pilots have been leaked and the response, for the most part, has been underwhelming. I think they're actually re-shooting the Eleventh Hour pilot. I know that few shows have stellar pilots, but this is not a promising start.

And I wouldn't be surprised if Grey's Anatomy and Heroes slip in the ratings. Grey's is no longer has the "buzz" it once had, and Heroes was a victim of the writers' strike-it's been off the air since December? and the episodes last fall were considered a disappointment.

July 08 2008 at 11:21 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to C C's comment
Oreo

The problem with Heroes is that it's not really a hit. The ratings are only a hit by NBC's very low standards.

July 08 2008 at 12:00 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Joey Geraci

FOX better be careful, because if they treat this show like other cult hits that they've manhandled, I can't imagine them getting another show like this in the future. I know I will lobby any showrunners thinking of going to FOX in the future to spend more time shopping their show around, for whatever my little opinion is worth.

July 08 2008 at 11:12 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
6 replies to Joey Geraci's comment
Courtney

Ryan's got a point, though I've heard back and forth about when it premieres. As for The Dollhouse, I'm so excited about it, but with FOX's trackrecord, I fear it will be cancelled in the first four episodes! I'm curious to hear what others think, too...

July 08 2008 at 10:52 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Courtney's comment
Oreo

I'm pretty sure Fox will cancel it before it even airs.

July 08 2008 at 11:39 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Ryan

Dollhouse doesn't start till Jan. They prob didn't consider it a Fall show

July 08 2008 at 9:46 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

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