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October 24, 2014

'Survivor: Heroes vs. Villains': Who Will Win? We Look at the Odds

by David Hofstede, posted Feb 9th 2010 3:00PM
Survivor Heroes vs Villains
Season 20 of 'Survivor' is sure to be a memorable one, as 20 previous contestants return for a second -- and in some cases third -- chance at winning $1 million.

The players are divided into two camps, 'Heroes vs. Villains,' and since 'Survivor' is a game that has been won by evil means as well as through strength of character, it should be fascinating to observe how the various strategies and alliances play out.

Before host Jeff Probst first asks "Survivors ready?", here are our thoughts on each of the returning players, and the odds of seeing their name written down at the final tribal council.
Survivor Heroes vs Villains
'Survivor: Heroes vs. Villains,' season 20 of the reality series, is sure to be a memorable one, as 20 previous contestants return for a second -- and in some cases third -- chance at winning $1 million.

The players are divided into two camps, 'Heroes vs. Villains,' and since 'Survivor' is a game that has been won by evil means as well as through strength of character, it should be fascinating to observe how the various strategies and alliances play out.

Before host Jeff Probst first asks "Survivors ready?", here are our thoughts on each of the returning players, and the odds of seeing their name written down at the final tribal council.

Candice Woodcock SurvivorCandice Woodcock
There's a possibility that many of the outsize personalities and big talkers from previous seasons will target each other first, leaving a path open for a more subtle player. Candice is best remembered for leading the Cook Islands mutiny, proving she's not afraid to make a bold move, and she was voted off before we saw her best game. Plus, as Natalie proved in Samoa, a lithe blonde who flies under the radar can outlast a lot of superior players. (Odds: 3-1)

Rob Mariano SurvivorRob Mariano
Boston Rob already dominated one All-Star cast, thus proving himself capable of playing this game at the highest level. They'll see him coming, but that's what we thought last time and he still went to the final tribal council, only to be denied his deserved victory by a bitter jury. He and wife Amber Brkich just had a baby five weeks before the game began -- can new daddy Rob be the same cutthroat player he was in the past? (Odds: 4-1)

Randy BaileyRandy Bailey
In preshow interviews Randy seems more mellow and less manic-depressive than he did in Gabon. If he doesn't grate on too many tribal nerves he may be safe while more established feuds between former adversaries play themselves out. His largely undistinguished play the last time will not make him a perceived threat, and that's what could keep him around. (Odds: 5-1)



James Clement SurvivorJames Clement

If anyone can win 'Survivor' through sheer physical force, it's the gravedigger from the China and Micronesia seasons. Beyond his chiseled superhero physique, James has a presence that makes him stand out whether he's dominating an obstacle course or just hanging out at camp. Still, in China he was voted out with two immunity idols in his pocket. Will he be more perceptive this time? (Odds: 6-1)

Sugar Kiper SurvivorJessica 'Sugar' Kiper
Another wild card that no one may notice until it is too late. In Gabon she winked and cried her way to the final jury vote, but those tactics won't work with a field of veterans. Still, we have a feeling there's more to her than meets the eye. (Odds: 7-1)

Amanda KimmelAmanda Kimmel
There's something to be said for playing 'Survivor' twice and never being voted out. Can Amanda go the distance a third time? There are a lot of former Micronesia players back for this season, and if they form an alliance she could go a long way again. If so, hopefully she'll do a better job addressing the jury. (Odds: 8-1)

JT Thomas SurvivorJames "J.T." Thomas
All of the former winners should enter the game with a target on their backs. But among the millionaires we think J.T. has the best chance to repeat. Like Andy Griffith in Mayberry, he combines country smarts with an aw-shucks personality that charms the ladies and has the guys tripping over themselves to form alliances with him. But he probably won't get any help from fellow Tocantins players Tyson and Coach. (Odds: 10-1)

Stephenie LaGrossaStephenie LaGrossa
Even in a field of hardbodies (and Rupert), Stephenie figures to be the most capable female in challenges, which should help her survive until the merge. However, she's going into the game with an injured shoulder that may hold her back -- and without a physical game, she's toast. (Odds: 12-1)

Russell HantzRussell Hantz
Though some time has past since Samoa, Russell's 39 days of game play last season could still put him at a physical disadvantage. Russell is one of the most cunning and aggressive players in the series' history, and given his ability to make moves at the right time he can't be counted out. But his tactics are fresh in all the players' minds, as is his disparagement of his female tribe members. If there's an all-girl alliance among the Villains, he won't last long. (Odds: 15-1)



tom Westman SurvivorTom Westman

The former New York City fireman and Palau season winner was loved by everyone, and should still be a physical threat even against players half his age. But nice guys usually finish last on 'Survivor,' and it would be an amazing achievement if Tom could defy that trend twice. (Odds: 18:1)

Colby Donaldson SurivovrColby Donaldson

He played a great game in Australia until the very end, when he gave up $1 million by taking Tina to the final vote instead of Keith. The first All-Stars season should have been his second chance at victory, but he never distinguished himself, and got booted by his Australian nemesis Jerri. More than any other player this season, Colby may have something to prove. (Odds: 20-1)

Parvati Shallow SurvivorParvati Shallow
Parvati could have given Russell pointers on blind sides and devious gameplay with her winning strategy during 'Fans vs. Favorites.' She is perhaps the most lethal combination of brains and beauty in the cast, but can she flirt her way past the early eliminations a third time? (Odds: 25-1)

Danielle DiLorenzo SurvivorDanielle DiLorenzo
Who? Unlike almost every other player this season, Danielle's name will not be instantly familiar to many 'Survivor' fans. A runner-up in Panama, her best chance is if her fellow tribemates forget about her like most viewers have. Hey -- it almost worked for Bret in Samoa. (Odds: 30-1)

Cirie FieldsCirie Fields
Cirie's strength was making moves that no one perceived until it was too late. But her hidden strategy won't work when everyone expects it. Still, Cirie's preference for taking the physical threats out first may come into play again, and if she gets the ear of her fellow Heroes, Tom and Colby may be in trouble. (Odds: 50-1)

Rupert Boneham SurvivorRupert Boneham

Everybody loves the big galoot from Pearl Islands, but like the Dallas Cowboys and the Jonas Brothers, that level of popularity always comes with a backlash. Rupert may be less gullible this time around, but he still figures to be cannon fodder for Boston Rob. (Odds: 75-1)



Tyson Apostol SurvivorTyson Apostol
Tyson played the arrogant mastermind in Tocantins, but he's not the player he thinks he is, as evidenced by how easily he was blindsided. Maybe he's got more game than he revealed the first time around, but we're not holding our breath. (Odds: 100-1)

Sandra Diaz Twine SurvivorSandra Diaz-Twine
The Pearl Islands season winner has a mouth like a gangsta-rapper and an abrasive personality that will not work to her advantage. She won't be much help in challenges, either. We'll be surprised if she's not among the first three to go. (Odds: 125-1)

Jerri Manthey SurvivorJerri Manthey
Jerri is still trying to rehabilitate her reputation after leaving the Outback. If she's concerned about how she will be perceived by the public, she won't be able to make the necessary moves to stick around long. (Odds: 200-1)

Courtney YatesCourtney Yates
A better player than she thinks she is, Courtney made it to the final tribal council in China, and then threw away her chances by basically telling the jury she couldn't care less if she won. Apparently her attitude hasn't changed, but she'll make for great TV while she lasts. (Odds: 500-1)

Coach SurvivorBenjamin "Coach" Wade
Survivors like Russell, Parvati and Boston Rob would kill themselves if they were outplayed by the Dragon Slayer. (Odds: 1,000-1)

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