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'Dancing with the Stars' Season Ten Odds

by Michael Pascua, posted Mar 2nd 2010 7:46PM
Evan LysacekThis season of 'Dancing with the Stars' has had some interesting choices for celebrities. Not all of the celebrities start on equal footing, some have musical backgrounds, some have physical prowess, and others have strong fan bases. Here's my odds for who will win from who has the worst to who has the best chances.

Buzz Aldrin
Claim to Fame - Walked on the moon
Professional Partner - Ashley Costa (formerly known as Ashley Del Grosso)
Professional's Best Finish - Third (Joey McIntyre, Season One)
Analysis - While I hope Buzz will last longer than a week, it seems unlikely that he can keep up with the younger competitors. The last time he was on television, during the pilot episode of 'Live for the Moment' he looked fit, but he's not a spring chicken. He will be a sentimental favorite, but clearly not the winner.
Odds of winning - 1000:1

Niecy Nash as Deputy Raineesha Williams on Reno 911Niecy Nash
Claim to Fame - 'Reno 911', 'Clean House' and 'The Insider'
Professional Partner - Louis Van Amstel
Professional's Best Finish - Third Place (Kelly Osbourne, Season Nine)
Analysis - Louis Van Amstel came off of a very strong season where he transformed Kelly Osbourne into a lady. Can he transform quick witted Niecy into a quick stepper? Comedians haven't fared that well on DWTS and her curves may work against her based on posture. Louis does believe in cross-training celebrities so she will probably have some very strong core strength by the end which will work to her advantage
Odds of winning - 50:1

Erin Andrews
Claim to Fame - ESPN Correspondent, Invasion of privacy incident peephole incident
Professional Partner - Maksim Chmerkovskiy
Professional's Best Finish - Second (Mel. B, Season Five)
Analysis - Model/Broadcaster Erin Andrews falls under the same category that Season Seven winner Brooke Burke has been. The difficulty with models has always been fan base. Not as many men watch this show and that's her fan base. Erin has been able to roll with the punches live on ESPN and that will be her biggest advantage. Maksim succeeds with contestants that can fight his pushy teaching style (Mel B. and Laila Ali). Watching Erin interview some aggressive coaches, she can deal with him.
Odds of winning - 40:1

Jake Pavelka
Claim to Fame - 'The Bachelor'
Professional Partner - Chelsie Hightower
Professional's Best Finish - Fourth (Ty Murray, Season Eight)
Analysis - While Jake Pavelka is fresh in people's minds, he comes off a bit granola and cardboard stiff from the episodes of 'The Bachelor' that I have seen. He may also get backlash for his selection on the show. Other than Melissa Rycroft, Bachelor/Bachleorette contestants haven't finished strong. Chelsie Hightower will probably be his ace. While she hasn't won, the show has been setting her up to be Julianne Hough's replacement. She has a positive attitude and strong teaching skills.
Odds of winning - 25:1

Kate Gosselin's book coverKate Gosselin
Claim to Fame - 'Jon and Kate Plus 8'
Professional Partner - Tony Dovolani
Professional's Best Finish - Third (Stacy Keibler, Season Two and Melissa Rycroft, Season Seven)
Analysis - Kate Gosselin is a total wild card. We've seen her at her lowest on her reality show and that can be quite low. The biggest factor is how much her kids will motivate her to win. Several mothers (Brooke Burke, Marie Osmond, Kristi Yamaguchi) have all cited their children as motivation and it's hard to gauge how much love can affect one's standings. Tony Dovolani has had better success with his younger contestants, but he had a strong showing with Susan Lucci. After all the more mature contestants, Tony understands teaching methods for older contestants are different from younger ones, but if he wants to win he will push Kate.
Odds of winning - 20:1

Pamela Anderson
Claim to Fame - Playboy Playmate, 'Baywatch'
Professional Partner - Damien Whitewood
Professional's Best Finish - N/A, this is Damien's first season.
Analysis - While Pamela Anderson has been tabloid fodder for years, many reports have shown that she is very professional on set of her shows. Pamela may get comments like Holly Madison (being a matchstick that is all hot on top but with bad legwork) and hopefully she won't be too sexual in the demure ballroom dances. Pamela automatically has the correct sizzle for a Samba or other Latin dances. Damien Whitewood is the big question mark. I haven't had an opportunity to see any of his choreographed dances on the Australian or Dutch versions of 'So You Think You Can Dance,' but his resume with reality tv and his participation on the Broadway production Burn the Floor shows a lot of promise.
Odds of winning - 17:1

Shannen Doherty
Claim to Fame - 'Beverly Hills 90210' 'Charmed'
Professional Partner - Mark Ballas
Professional's Best Finish - Winner (Kristi Yamaguchi, Season Six and Shawn Johnson, Season Eight)
Analysis - Unlike Pamela Anderson who is professional on set, Shannen Doherty has been called a bitch (Most recently by Shenae Grimes of new '90210' fame). Will Shannen use DWTS to try softening her image? Previous '90210' stars Jennie Garth and Ian Ziering have competed and both finished fourth. Her ex-husband Ashley Hamilton was first eliminated last season. Mark usually gets sweet girls (Melissa Joan Hart, Sabrina Bryan), so he will have to adjust his teaching style for Shannen.
Odds of winning - 15:1

A shirtless Aiden Turner on All My ChildrenAiden Turner
Claim to Fame - 'All My Children'
Professional Partner - Edyta Sliwinska
Professional's Best Finish - Second (Jason Taylor, Season Six)
Analysis - Aiden Turner will bring the heat like Cristián de la Fuente or Gilles Marini. As long as he has an open shirt and Edyta swivels around him he'll be safe for the first four weeks. Also anyone who has been on 'Eastenders' gets an extra nod in my book.
Odds of winning - 14:1

Chad Ochocinco
Claim to Fame - Professional NFL Athlete
Professional Partner - Cheryl Burke
Professional's Best Finish - Winner (Drew Lachey, Season Two and Emmit Smith, Season Three)
Analysis - Since Chad is a wide receiver, he is going to be lighter on his feet than defensive tackle Warren Sapp or even lineback Jason Taylor. He's also a very emotional and enthusiastic person so he'll match his hard work ethic with funny quips. Cheryl has had the gamut of partners ranging from the young (Drew Lachey) to the old (Wayne Newton) and she's dealt with athletes before. If she can combine his drive with technique, they will be a winning combination
Odds of winning - 7:1

Nicole Scherzinger
Claim to Fame - Lead Singer of The Pussycat Dolls
Professional Partner - Derek Hough
Professional's Best Finish - Winner (Brooke Burke, Season Seven)
Analysis - Nicole follows the footsteps of other ringers Mya and Mel. B; the pop/R&B musicians that have to learn choreography. Nicole probably has had to learn the most difficult out of all previous musicians seeing how most of the Pussycat Dolls' music is high-energy pop. Nicole may have been a bit sedate when she was judging 'The Sing-Off,' but she is fiery. Unlike Dmitry Chaplin last year, Derek Hough knows how to create a winning freestyle, so if the two can shake off the ringer status they will be clear front-runners
Odds of winning - 5:1

Evan Lysacek
Claim to Fame - Vancouver Olympic Figure Skating Champion
Professional Partner - Anna Trebunskaya
Professional's Best Finish - Second (Jerry Rice, Season Two)
Analysis - Evan follows the footsteps of successful Winter Olympians Apolo Ohno and Kristi Yamaguchi. He like every Olympian has drive, determination and will want to stay late practicing his dances to get it perfect. His biggest nemesis will be himself. Anna Trebunskaya has had athletes and Jerry Rice was also 6' 2" so it's doubtful if height will be a negative factor like it is with figure skating.
Odds of winning - 3:1
Who will win? It's hard not to think Evan Lysacek has the best odds on paper, he is both physically and emotionally ready to take on any challenges that come his way. I'm in the minority that hopes Kate Gosselin will do well, just for that one week where there will be eight chairs for her kids to sit in the audience. Extra credit if Jon Gosselin has to sit and watch as well. How do you think this season will run? Does anyone already miss Lacey Schwimmer? Leave comments below.

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I miss Lacey.

Do not miss Karina; hope she is gone for good!

Happy "Maxie" is still there; what a hunk-a hunk-a burnin sex appeal he has!

Pam A. is a real "bimbo blonde."

Kate - loosen up, relax a little and have some fun. Not everyone dislikes you........

March 23 2010 at 10:20 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

Dancing with the Stars is a total waste of time! And now
with Kate Gosslin it will surely hit a ratings bottom! I do
not understand how people can watch this show! Not to
mention Survivor, and all the other reality bs on the air.

March 23 2010 at 2:51 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

Well overall I am disappointed with this year's lineup, it lacks the classiness of previous years. Glad Samantha Harris is gone. She thought she was the main attraction. Will miss Lacey.

March 06 2010 at 11:40 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

Your odds seem pretty realistic. Have to admit I'm with the majority who hope Kate goes away in week one and Jake can follow her in week two! I love Tony Dovolani! I'm so sad I will not be able to vote for him this season. Let the dancing begin!

March 04 2010 at 3:39 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

Kate please go away...

March 03 2010 at 11:31 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

Yeah, I miss Lacey. I'd rather see her than Karina or Edyta.

I also miss Dmitry, but can't say I'm particularly surprised at his absence, given that Len obviously didn't care for his style.

Just noticed Kym isn't dancing either. Oh well - at least Cheryl, Anna and Maksim are still participating.

Hopefully the show will have more sense this year than to use dance styles the judges are completely unfamiliar with. That's always a disaster.

March 03 2010 at 5:31 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Joyce N.

Just go away, Kate!

March 02 2010 at 8:44 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
1 reply to Joyce N.'s comment
Joy G

I have been watching Dancing since it started but now with the BAD line up I will not be watching. What is ABC thinking! Kat Gosslin, Pam Anderson this is just bad TV all the way....... No thank you I will be watching something with class not with tramps......

March 03 2010 at 4:46 AM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply
Susan Schuchts

Go Kate!!!

March 02 2010 at 8:19 PM Report abuse rate up rate down Reply

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