Who Will Win 'American Idol'?
by Jane Boursaw, posted Apr 5th 2010 9:00AM
The 'American Idol' season nine finale is still a ways off, but I'm ready to start talking about who I think will win. I'm tempted to say that the judges missed the boat on some of the contestants who made it (or rather, didn't make it) into the Top 24, but that's not really fair. Sometimes a contestant will shine during the auditions and Hollywood Week, but once they get to the big stage, nerves or a lack of confidence take over, and it shows in the live performances.
If 'Idol' moves on to another season, I'd like to see more behind-the-scenes footage with the Top 12 -- more scenes of the music coaching, what the contestants go through making those all-important song choices, and what goes into the hair and wardrobe we see on stage. Future wish-list aside, follow me after the jump for more analysis on the remaining contestants, and my choice for the winner.
Andrew Garcia. I have to agree with Simon, in that while Andrew has a really nice voice, he's forgettable and boring (and I apologize in advance to his mother for saying that). Nothing about him really stands out for me, and once he leaves the stage, I totally forget what he sang. If Andrew is going to stay relevant in the competition, he'll need to up his game and do something that makes us go, "Wow!" Otherwise, he may be out of the running in the next few weeks.
Michael Lynche. I love Michael's upbeat R&B performances, but found last week's 'Ready For Love' to be a bit boring, despite the judges' high marks. Like Ellen, I'll pre-boo myself on that, because I feel really bad saying it. Michael has such a big heart and a loving soul, and that's what he needs to bring to the stage week after week. He'll last a good while, but I don't think he'll be the last person standing.
Katie Stevens. Despite Simon's thought that she fits nicely into a country niche, I'm going with Kara on this one. I see Katie as a Demi Lovato/Selena Gomez-type pop singer who'll develop a nice fan base of young-ish girls. While there's no doubt that she improves every week, she's not as natural a performer as some of the other contestants. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but you can tell she has to work at it.
Casey James. Casey is consistently good in his particular guitar-rock genre, but the fact that he does pretty much the same thing week after week might be a deterrent to him going all the way. Even though we've had some rockers who've won in the past, I don't think that will happen this year. I can't see Casey doing a David Cook 'Billie Jean' performance, but it could happen.
Crystal Bowersox. Despite her comments to the contrary, Crystal sometimes comes off as a little full of herself, like she thinks she'll win the competition hands down. In reality, I don't believe she's that way at all -- I think she's humble and grateful to be there, not to mention a natural talent -- but that's the vibe she puts out, which could hurt her with the voting public. I predict that Crystal will be one of the last to be eliminated, and everyone will cry foul on the voting and say she was unfairly booted. She'll have a great career anyway -- probably better than if she wins, because then she won't be constrained by the 'American Idol' machine.
Tim Urban. 'Teflon Tim' is a dark horse, because while he's technically not as good as any of the other singers, he has a big fan base and seems totally un-phased by the judges' harsh critiques week after week. As I've noted before -- and he said as much last week -- I believe he's just delighted to be there, no matter what the judges or bloggers say about him. It would be amazing if he actually won, and there's a slim possibility it could happen. I'm actually secretly rooting for it, because there's a message in there about smiling while all around you a storm is brewing.
Lee DeWyze. Lee's confidence has been growing each week, but it still might be the one thing that keeps him from winning the competition. Clearly, he's one of the best singers of the remaining contestants. If he continues to perform like he did last week with 'Treat Her Like a Lady,' there's a chance he could win.
Siobhan Magnus. Look, Siobhan has a great voice, but I agree with Simon that the screaming is getting old. That said, she could pull an Adam Lambert 'Mad World' performance out of her hat, and that will be a gamer changer for her. Siobhan may be one of the last Idol's standing, but I don't think she'll win. That honor will go to ...
Aaron Kelly. Aaron has everything going for him. He's super-confident at 16 years old, he has a dedicated fan base that includes not only tween girls, but also their moms and everyone in between, he can sing virtually any type of music, and he continues to improve each week. So that's my prediction -- Aaron Kelly for the win.
|Andrew Garcia||28 (0.9%)|
|Michael Lynche||75 (2.5%)|
|Katie Stevens||41 (1.4%)|
|Casey James||198 (6.6%)|
|Crystal Bowersox||1281 (42.4%)|
|Tim Urban||46 (1.5%)|
|Lee DeWyze||967 (32.0%)|
|Siobhan Magnus||248 (8.2%)|
|Aaron Kelly||134 (4.4%)|