For the next few days, I'll be listing the Emmy nominees in the major categories and giving you picks and possible dark horses. Feel free to agree, disagree, and make your own picks in the comments.

Let's start with an interesting mix of the safe and the new: the Best Supporting Actress in a Drama category.

Nominees:
Christine Baranski, 'The Good Wife'
Rose Byrne, 'Damages'
Sharon Gless, 'Burn Notice'
Christina Hendricks, 'Mad Men'
Elisabeth Moss, 'Mad Men'
Archie Panjabi, 'The Good Wife'

Who will win: The Academy just loves, loves, loves Christine Baranski. Sure, she only won once, for 'Cybil' in 1995, but she's been nominated six times since then, including twice this year (she got a guest actress nod for playing Leonard's mom on 'The Big Bang Theory'). And now that she's nominated in the drama category for the first time, they'll jump at the chance to give her the statuette. Even though she did a good job as ice queen law firm honcho Diane Lockhart in 'The Good Wife,' the Academy will likely just give her the award because she's an old friend.

Who should win: I may have a bit of a 'Mad Men' bias, but of all the characters on that show, Elisabeth Moss' character of Peggy Olson has had to go through the biggest transformation since the beginning of the series. And the third season episode she submitted, 'Love Among the Ruins,' shows that transformation. The fact that Moss is in the supporting category rather than lead, where she was last year, reflects more on the direction of the show last year -- which veered more towards Don's secret life and his family than in the past -- than on her performances. When Moss was on screen, she had a riveting presence.

Dark Horse: Panjabi has gotten a lot of buzz for her small but memorable role of private investigator Kalinda Sharma on 'The Good Wife' this past season. But the Academy isn't keen to give first-year shows the nod, even in the supporting categories. And with the presence of Baranski, fellow vet Sharon Gless, two 'Mad Men' standouts, and the always-reliable Rose Byrne, it doesn't seem like Panjabi has much of a chance.


Who do you think will get the Emmy on August 29?