Emmy Picks: Best Lead Actor in a Drama

With the Emmy awards less than a week away, I'm continuing to pick who I think should and who I think will win the major awards.
On Friday, I discussed the Best Lead Actress in a Drama category. Today we look at their male counterparts in the Best Lead Actor in a Drama category.
Nominees:
Kyle Chandler, 'Friday Night Lights'
Bryan Cranston, 'Breaking Bad'
Matthew Fox, 'Lost'
Michael C. Hall, 'Dexter'
Jon Hamm, 'Mad Men'
Hugh Laurie, 'House'
Who will win: Wow. You could make a case for everyone in this category, given the strong episodes they each submitted. That being said, Bryan Cranston didn't give the Academy any reason to avoid giving him the award for the third year in a row. 'Breaking Bad' had an exceptionally strong season, and it says a lot that I don't even think Cranston was the best actor on his show this year -- Aaron Paul did that good of a job, but he's nominated in the supporting category -- but I still think he will take the prize.
Who should win: Cranston. Another indication that he and 'Breaking Bad' put in such an exceptional season: I don't even think the episode he submitted -- the gripping season finale, 'Full Measure' -- was Cranston's best job this year. If I were doing the submitting, I'd give the Academy either the claustrophobic 'Fly,' which showed the full range of what Cranston can do, including take a fall from off a catwalk, or 'Half Measures,' just for its shocking final scene alone.
Dark Horse: Hall or Hamm. Hall because he won the Golden Globe and had probably his best season on 'Dexter,' Hamm because he's been shut out to this point and really deserves to win while 'Mad Men' is at the front of the public's pop culture consciousness.
Who do you think will take home the Emmy?
(Follow @joelkeller on Twitter.)

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