With the Emmy awards less than a week away, I'm continuing to pick who I think should and who I think will win the major awards.

Yesterday, I discussed the Best Lead Actor in a Drama category. Today we look at the comedy side of the ledger and the Best Lead Actress in a Comedy category.

Nominees:
Toni Collette, 'United States of Tara'
Edie Falco, 'Nurse Jackie'
Tina Fey, '30 Rock'
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, 'The New Adventures of Old Christine'
Lea Michele, 'Glee'
Amy Poehler, 'Parks and Recreation'

Who will win: When I saw that Edie Falco had submitted the pilot for 'Nurse Jackie,' it hit me that she didn't get nominated for the show last year. Since the pilot aired about a week after the 2010 eligibility period started, the Academy has had well over a year to ruminate over Falco's strong out-of-the-gate performance in that pilot, where the entire web of lies Jackie has set up get revealed in a quick 30 minutes. Considering her Emmy history -- seven nominations, three wins -- it's very easy to see Falco standing on stage with the Emmy this year.

Who should win: Either Falco or Collette. Collette won last year, and it's not like her performance suffered any this year. I just get the feeling that the Academy voters will vote for Falco just on 'Sopranos' muscle memory alone.

Dark Horse: Poehler. Since Nick Offerman wasn't nominated, there should be some recognition for the vast improvement of 'Parks and Recreation' in its second season. And Amy Poehler represents that improvement in a nutshell. Her character of Leslie Knope went from a well-meaning but slightly befuddled Michael Scott clone in season one to an earnest, driven, career-oriented do-gooder who is self-assured at times and woefully insecure at others. And those layers of Poehler's personality would have never been present without Poehler's nuanced performances throughout the season.

(Oh, and there's an even shot that Lea Michele will shock everyone and take it from her veteran co-nominees if voters get caught up in 'Glee' fever. Don't say I didn't warn you.)

Who do you think will take home the Emmy?

(Follow @joelkeller on Twitter.)