With the Emmy awards just days away, I'm continuing to pick who I think should and who I think will win the major awards.

Yesterday, I discussed the Best Lead Actor in a Comedy category. Today we start looking at the big two awards, beginning with Best Drama.

Nominees:
'Breaking Bad'
'Dexter'
'Lost'
'Mad Men'
'The Good Wife'
'True Blood'

Who will win: I don't think that the Academy voters would put 'Lost' in this category, especially since they stopped nominating it giving them the prize after its first season, unless they intended on giving it the award. This has happened before when a well-regarded, long-running series ends; 'Hill Street Blues' took home a U-Haul full of awards after its last season in 1987, for instance. And 'Lost' has been such a part of the cultural conversation since its debut that the Academy would be hard pressed to give it to another show. Think of this as more of a Lifetime Achievement award than an award for anything in 'Lost''s final season.

Who should win: Considering that after the finale aired, I said that 'Breaking Bad' had the best season of dramatic TV I've seen in a decade, then I went on to declare it the best show on television, it makes sense that I'd put this in the "should win" category. Vince Gilligan and company had such a killer season, full of twists, turns, surprises, and "holy crap" moments, that in any other year, it would win hands down. But 'Lost' had to go and end this year, meaning that one of the best dramas on TV will go unrecognized (except for Bryan Cranston) for a third year in a row.

Dark Horse: It's hard to call 'Mad Men' a dark horse, considering it's won the last two years, but in a year when 'Lost' ended, 'Breaking Bad' kicked butt and 'Dexter' had a finale that shocked even the most hardcore viewers, 'Mad Men's' contemplative, satisfying third season might get overlooked. But don't count out Matt Weiner and his crew; if Academy members remember how well the show built momentum as the season went on, and then recall both the lawn mower accident episode as well as the rousing finale, the show could sneak in and take it once again.

Who do you think will take home the Emmy?

(Follow @joelkeller on Twitter.)