After one week of competition, it's easy to see which celebrities on Dancing with the Stars have the potential to go all the way and which will barely squeak past week two. It wasn't a shock having either Macy Gray or Ashley Hamilton eliminated week one.

If this season's contestants follow the trend of celebrities before them, one can figure out how they will fare this year. There are some small wrenches like new dances (Bolero, Lambada, Charleston, and Two Step) and the return of the face-off. Combining previous contestants' performances with this year's first week, I've compiled where everyone stands.

(S09E01) We begin the ninth season of Dancing with the Stars with a men's professional routine. As good as all the men are, it's just not as compelling as women's flowing (or non-existent) dresses. Tom and Samantha welcome us to the show and reminds us that there are minor twists, including extra double eliminations. Our first twist is the Relay: basically a rehashed group dance.

We welcome our dancers for the first time down the stairs. While the women aren't performing tonight, they descend and sit in the audience. Macy Gray wanders down the stairs totally confused to as where she is.

File this one under Bad Ideas. Donny Osmond has agreed to host a new game show for ABC that is in very, very poor taste. It's called The Great American Dream Vote.

Miraculously, Donny Osmond is not the problem here. The problem is the game: There are 8 contestants who tell a studio audience (and Donny) about their lifelong dream. Then, they make their case as to why their dream should be fulfilled. They "square off" and plead their case while the studio audience votes. Eventually, the audience will whittle the contestants down to just one who gets to have their dream come true. Sounds great. I'm sure there's nothing quite as exciting as watching someone realize they will not attain their lifelong dream.

Does anyone else think this sounds downright mean?